noveltune Page 424
Page 424
Tao Zhiming didn't wait for them to read them one by one, but started to say: "This just shows that my judgment has more sufficient reasons. I also did a lot of calculations based on the data at that time. What is the general trend like? What kind of point will probably turn, the macro data of the neon economy, the trading volume of the foreign exchange market, and the positions of daily buy and sell orders... Try to choose the multiple of leverage and open positions according to your own funds and replenishment progress The point to close the position..."
"The most important thing, of course, is good luck." Tao Zhiming grinned, "I have been lucky so many times, which naturally means that I may have really mastered some methods to extract valuable clues from public information. For this reason, I also specially ordered a Bloomberg terminal, which is why I know Professor Yamamoto."
Akito Yamamoto sat in the back, looking at him strangely.
He hasn't seen the notebook yet, but he understands what Tao Zhiming said: earning 2 billion yen in 100 months is because he has a methodology, and through public information, he has come up with a larger trend than the appreciation of the neon yen in massive news. Important specific ups and downs, and then through data calculations, determine your own investment strategy.
What about coaxing ghosts?Which is not done this way?Which securities company or financial club is not doing this?
If it can be so awesome in this way, how can there be profits and losses?
However, the facts probably speak louder than words. Who made him really earn so much?The contents of the notebook can probably further prove that every investment he made back then was well-founded and true.
Tao Zhiming's real ability is cheating, of course he can't tell them.
But it has been so many years, there are already so many people available under him, and there are already so many people who are enough to trust.
Coupled with his own deliberate preparation, he made this fake by comparing it with the real data that appeared later from many news reports. How can others do carbon 14 identification on these notebooks to confirm that these handwritings are in the What year, month and day did you leave it?
No need, at least on this occasion, no one will reveal it, so it will be fine.Afterwards, who will see these notebooks again?
Even if I thought about it, I wouldn't bring it up to expose it. What if I was really slapped in the face?They are all decent people, Tao Zhiming has slapped more than one in the face.
Whether it is true or not, Tao Zhiming said quietly: "At that time, when I was using the Bloomberg terminal to help Professor Yamamoto finish that thesis, Professor Yamamoto always felt that I seemed to have some insights into the economy. At that time, I I'm just a small person, and what I say will probably be regarded as a joke. This time, Professor Yamamoto, now, would you like to hear some of my real thoughts?"
Akito Yamamoto suddenly realized.When he was invited here today, he thought that since it involved the policy direction dispute between the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank, he wanted to hear his important opinions.
But in the end, I have to be a tool man again.
"... That's right." Akito Yamamoto was very considerate, "Tao Jun, I always felt that you had something to hide, have you decided to speak freely today?"
Tao Zhiming smiled happily, very flattering.
With such a famous economic leader, endorsed by his own brilliant achievements, and the prestige of the "military adviser" of the consortium war that has been planned at this moment, Tao Zhiming flashed a word in his heart: "I have a message, please listen carefully."
He put away his smile and said, "The war against Iraq will start within half a year at most, and it will end soon!"
Shi Potian was startled, and everyone's expressions froze, and they looked at him seriously.
The topic jumps a little fast, but this is a prophecy and judgment after all, and of course it is related to the neon economy.
Tao Zhiming held his head high: "After the war starts, the price of oil will fall instead!"
Now San Chong Yefu's expression froze even more, his eyes were already extremely sharp: Why does he make such a judgment?
Kinoshita Hidekaze, Anzai Yoshie, and Nojima Tatsuo watched his confident aura over there, and couldn't help but hold their breath.This feeling... If Akito Yamamoto was there, maybe it would be more natural, but the room would not be so quiet; he stood there talking eloquently, which seemed to be contrary to harmony, but somehow had a huge persuasive power.
Probably, because at the beginning, it was a 2-month [-] billion yen old story that was brought up again.Is this rhetoric?Re-emphasize his strength.
Then the conversation suddenly changed and began to prophesy about major events.Now, who dares to categorically refute it?
Has he prepared more evidence like these few notebooks?
Just when all their thoughts were in a hurry, Tao Zhiming's voice was already very soft, and he said word by word: "I even judge that before the end of next year, Hongsu will disintegrate on its own. Peacefully, naturally, disintegration."
It was so soft, but everyone could hear it clearly.
Beginning with Jinshinmaru, Takegami Ta, Kaibe Toshi and others, including Yamamoto Akito, all of them changed their faces drastically.
Many people couldn't help but opened their mouths, wanting to say something, but couldn't say it.
Not finished yet.
Tao Zhiming said indifferently: "Then, the one who inherits Hongsu's status—let's think it's Beiluo—will probably abandon the original route completely, and even ask Omi's economists to help Beiluo change the economic system. The world is not Then it is separated into two halves, leaving only a few corners. A new era will come, and you should be very clear about the position of neon in the past 40 years, right? So, where does neon go in the future? "
There was a deathly silence in the room at first, and as Tao Zhiming took a sip of tea, there were several dry throats from far and near.
Akito Yamamoto didn't care so much, he couldn't help but eagerly said: "Tao Jun, why do you... make these judgments? Disintegration, this is really... You don't know that once they fall into that situation, what will happen to them? What kind of fate?"
When someone speaks, others don't have to worry for the time being.
Now, even Sane Yefu wouldn't think it was a waste of time today.
In the same way, some people will be regarded as nonsense when they say it.Some people say that you have to pay attention.
Since he used the method of proof at the beginning, I am afraid that he will also say the reasons that can really prove his point!
Tao Zhiming nodded with a smile, and Akira Yamamoto praised him very much.
So Tao Zhiming nodded again to another tool man over there: Yosuke Ueno, the projector operator, and then pointed to the curtain and said: "Currently, the crude oil reserves of the United States are close to 6 million barrels. This is the crude oil consumption of the United States in the first half of this year. The data is 1765.5 million barrels per day. Even without any source, these strategic oil reserves can last for 34 days."
Sure enough, it was the data that spoke, and now everyone was staring at the curtain.
"Among you, many people already know my relationship with Mr. Stevenson of the Rockefick family in the United States. From there, I know that the major oil companies in Omi had already decided to send troops on the 8th when the war broke out in early August. The televised speech at the time was for real. This time, they will really cooperate with this war and freeze the oil price at the level before the war.”
Tao Zhiming glanced at the crowd, paused for a moment, and said, "I also got definite news through Prince Hassar. The country headed by Oyert will fully guarantee oil production during wartime."
"This is impossible!" Sane Yefu said decisively, "Once the war against Iraq really breaks out, with the speed at which Iraq captured Kurt, and their huge military strength, air force, missiles, artillery and tanks... in the face of such What scruples do they have in the encirclement and suppression by many countries? They will only drag all the surrounding countries into trouble and disrupt the situation through a big melee. Destructive power is their bargaining chip! In this case, the so-called freezing oil prices and ensuring production , what is the use?"
"It works!" Tao Zhiming's tone was equally confident, "From August to now, the United States has been making preparations. Although negotiations are currently underway, do you think Ike will give in?"
"No." It was Jin Xinwan who spoke.
The behind-the-scenes boss is a person with small eyes but very sharp eyes. He said in a deep voice: "Judging from my experience as the Minister of Defense, since Ike started the last war, Ike has never been able to stop. Yes. Domestic conflicts, heavy debts, the fanatical people who support him, swallowing Kurt’s huge interests, and the soaring prestige of this siege, he can’t stop! It’s like... the neon more than 60 years ago !"
Stared at by his eyes, Tao Zhiming remembered his identity as a descendant of the Xia Kingdom, not sure if he was deliberately provocative.
But he was already prepared, and just nodded calmly as usual: "That's right. Probably many people will have this judgment. The main reason is that everyone believes that with Ike's current military strength and combat experience, The outcome of this battle is still unpredictable! And the last war in the United States has greatly changed the thinking of the Americans. If there are talking trees, don’t they have talking sand?”
"Moreover, there is Hongsu who will not sit back and watch the United States greatly increase its influence at that continental crossroads! If so, do you still think this war will end soon?" Sane Yefu asked, as if he felt that he, a businessman, had suddenly started It's ridiculous to talk about the military.
"That's right!" Tao Zhiming was terrified, "It will end soon! This battle is precisely to completely break Hongsu's confidence!"
"Destroyed militarily?" Sanchong Yefu sneered, and retorted straightforwardly, "It is true that their economy is getting worse and worse, but militarily...hehe."
Tao Zhiming smiled kindly, I'm after you, what are you hanging on to me?
"Turn back the time to 1973, the birth of the first oil crisis." After Tao Zhiming said this, San Chong Yefu's expression froze.
Why did the subject jump away again?
Miyazawa Kiji felt refreshed, it seemed that Tao Dalang, who had been silent for so long, wanted to have a good time today.Now the situation is very good, he is fighting against the triple wild.
Kinoshita Hidekaze and the others were at a loss: Remember before, he said that today he was going to help Sanchong Yefu convince other people?
Tao Zhiming continued: "In 1973, before, the price of oil was 3 yuan per barrel. A year later, it more than tripled. After the outbreak of the Yom Kippur War, the United States and Nihong suffered from the oil embargo from OPEC, which triggered It caused a huge inflation crisis. Needless to say, this is the reason why the stock market is now accelerating its decline. But in 1974, Oyert signed an agreement with the United States."
He said very seriously: "I'm sure that some of you already know the existence of this agreement, allowing Oyert's oil exports to be settled in dollars, while the United States promised to provide Oyert with military protection and Weaponry. Oyert is OPEC's largest oil producer. This situation ended the chaos of oil settlement after the collapse of the gold meter dollar. However, I guarantee that you do not know the most real details of this process and underestimate this matter. The strategic importance of the matter!"
Takegami Takegami, Kaibu Toshi and others felt a little absurd for a while, but he suddenly started pointing at such a grand topic, and he was extremely confident.
Having said that, it seems to have digressed, but Tao Zhiming continued to solemnly warn: "Don't worry, I will talk about the judgments just now, and the choice of neon. Before that, I want to ask everyone to promise that I will Some of the things I said are really top secret! These secrets even involve the change of the royal family of Oyert. Please give me a guarantee!"
Takegami is even more weird. Except for "upright" guys like Akito Yamamoto and Masahiro Ueda, can the guarantees of other people be trusted?
Unless he was sure, what he said next would have enough weight to make others sincerely keep him a secret, or those secrets were not that important.
However, Tao Zhiming is only in PUA.
From now on, it's a compliance test.One guarantee is the change of rhythm.Even just a nod of assurance out of morality will make a subtle turn in the mood.
Tao Zhiming also has enough status to stand there solemnly and wait for them to nod their heads one after another, but he still insists: "Everyone, excuse me, I want to hear your voices!"
Ueda Masahiro felt numb, this is too bold.This is your boat, won't others worry about hidden dangers?
Akito Yamamoto was the first to say impatiently: "I, Akito Yamamoto promise! Tell me!"
Even the people in the front row couldn't help turning their heads to look at him: Are you frankly trusting?
However, Akito Yamamoto really wanted to know, and he even wanted to beat that guy up: Is it because I don't have enough face to listen to your "insights"?
Seeing Tao Zhiming standing there persistently, voices continued to ring out in the room.Obviously, someone got together and said it, and didn't say his name.
All in all, the atmosphere was made a bit weird by Tao Zhiming.
Tao Zhiming laughed with satisfaction, and then bowed first: "Forgive my rudeness. Then, let's be blunt! The United States before the oil crisis was actually very dangerous, because of the pressure from Hongsu and the aftermath of the war. Soaring inflation, depreciation of the dollar, stock market crash, huge trade deficit, and soaring fiscal deficit. Everyone knows the background. Next, I will just say the facts.”
He paused, as if reading a manuscript: "On August 1971, 8, the United States announced that it would stop exchanging the dollar for gold. In December, the dollar began to depreciate; in March 15, the fixed exchange rate system was abolished. In October, the oil The embargo started, the oil crisis broke out. In this crisis, Iran did not join the embargo."
The scope of what he said is getting bigger and bigger, but now no one interrupts, just listen to him continue to say: "Beginning in January 1974, you all know the shuttle diplomacy of Special Envoy Singh. In July, US Treasury Secretary Simon visited Iran hopes that Iran will lower the oil price. He got nothing in Iran, but he reached an agreement with Oyert Oil Minister to reduce the oil price to 1 yuan a barrel. This matter was learned by Iran and threatened to cut production half."
"Then in August, the leader of the United States resigned because of the scandal. In September, Iran said that sentence: 'Western countries have accumulated their own wealth at the expense of Iran's interests to develop their economies, and exploit oil production with such low oil prices. It’s been too long since the U.S., and now it’s time to get things back on track.” But in fact, there were two kinds of debates in the U.S. at the same time: the Treasury Secretary believed that if oil prices rose again, the economy would get out of control; Singh believed that oil prices were okay Raise 8 to 9 yuan to maintain the stability of the oil-producing area in exchange for the purchase of weapons and equipment by the country there to overcome financial difficulties.”
Jin Xinmaru's eyes moved: "In the end, Singer won."
Tao Zhiming shook his head: "Who wins? All of this was originally a huge strategic plan! In fact, as early as when Simon visited Iran and Oyert, he had already learned from Oyert There was an agreement that actually had a huge impact!"
Looking at the crowd, he said coldly: "In fact, before Oyert's then king was assassinated by his nephew, Oyert had already signed the most important point of the agreement: Oyert promised It is necessary to use a considerable part of the oil export profits settled in rice dollars to invest in U.S. national debt! Afterwards, the investment bank in Huajie sent a person to serve as the chief investment advisor of the Oyert Currency Bureau to guide Oyert’s investment in oil and rice dollars! With this agreement, the United States is not afraid of Iran raising oil prices at all!”
"The following year, the relationship between the United States and Iran deteriorated; in 77, Iran moved to increase oil prices by 15%, Oyert immediately increased production, and oil prices fell; Iran suffered huge losses, began to borrow money, and the economy was out of control. In 79, Iran's coup d'etat ;During the war between Iraq and Iran, the United States even supported Iraq. I won’t list too many things, but the fact is that today’s oil needs to be settled in rice dollars; Oil, its price can already be affected by the financial policy of the United States."
I don't know if it's because he had eaten enough before and now his brain lacks oxygen, or he put these things together to make people dizzy.
Sanchong Yefu couldn't help asking: "Isn't it normal to affect the price of oil with the strength of the United States?"
Tao Zhiming smiled: "Have you forgotten that Oyert's oil and rice dollars need to buy national bonds? Then continue, in this process, the influence of neoliberalism is getting bigger and bigger. I don't know if Professor Yamamoto and Mie Nosang are How do you understand it, but I just noticed that the Federal Reserve is becoming more and more independent, and their monetary policy is becoming more and more effective in regulating the economy. The central bank must be more independent, Mie Ye-san, is this what you are pursuing?"
Sane Yefu's eyes suddenly showed sharpness, and the room was quite cold, Miyazawa Kiji and the others couldn't help looking at him.
Tao Zhiming smiled lightly: "Don't worry, I support you."
Now, Miyazawa Xi and the others turned their gazes to Tao Zhiming: What did you say?
Tao Zhiming spread his hands: "Continue talking. Yosuke, the Star Wars project."
There was a sudden change on the screen, and the continued challenge of this topic was impossible for Sane Yefu and others who were highly concentrated.
Tao Zhiming smiled and said: "I've said it all, and the topic will be brought back. Now let's talk about why the war against Iraq will end soon, why Hongsu has no spare time to do anything, why the price of oil will not rise, and finally... ...why Hongsu will soon be history!"
The purpose of tonight is to completely condense the godhead!
After this night, Neon will go in the direction he pointed.
He made a god, not to decide the life and death of the neon stock market with one word.
Ben is a dying person, of course he has to be used to achieve his own goals!
Chapter 516: He's Confused!He is in a hurry!He broke the defense!
This is Tao Zhiming's boat.
The room where the bosses gather is also his exclusive stage.
From the very beginning, he used his own information collection, collation and analysis to prove how he earned tens of billions of yen in two months, and now he has used the semiconductor war, the impact of information technology research and development on the two superpowers, the Plaza Agreement, and the oil dollar. , the return of funds in the form of U.S. treasury bonds, and what role the independent status of the Federal Reserve can play. The unconstrained narration has always fascinated these people who usually have a broad vision.
Akito Yamamoto was the first to understand what he wanted to express, so his expression darkened, and he thought absently: How narrow is it to study the economy itself purely?
This is the harvesting model of rice and yuan that people of later generations have summed up the history and analyzed clearly; it is also the process of how the country of the United States used soft knives to combine economy, academics, culture, and technology to completely disrupt the rhythm of Hongsu.
Today, Neon is the country that is personally suffering from the harvest crisis.Although they are still a little dazed now, the smart people here have already understood this clear disassembly.Judging from my personal experience, this is the truth.Ueda Masahiro and Kinoshita Hidekaze have heard some of these expressions a long time ago.
And Hongsu's subordinates have indeed lost their absolute control over the franchise countries since last year, and the crisis of disintegration is real.They just don't believe in the final result like Tao Zhiming.
They were born, grew up, and ascended to high positions in this era of bipolar confrontation, and their thinking has become accustomed to the existence of this state.
In terms of historical records, strength on paper, and the United States' spared no effort to shape Hongsu's strength, it is also hard for them to believe that Hongsu will give up directly.
This is the limitation of the times.
Tao Zhiming finally concluded: "So, this war, although the United States is only a comprehensive application of information technology research and development over the years, they themselves are not sure, and they are even prepared to be more tragic, but I judge: This is a war mode. The crushing! Because of this victory, Hongsu’s confidence will be crushed! And the United States, which has achieved shocking results to the world, can also stabilize oil prices, showing that they can provide a new order for the world on their own. Then, the final result is self-evident Yu!"
He looked at the thoughtful crowd, and asked solemnly: "The most powerful enemy has fallen, so the neon, which is irresistible militarily but can pose the greatest economic threat to the United States in peacetime, Where do I go? That’s right, this is an attack by a financial black ship! Why am I so accurate in many judgments, because I have seen this through from the beginning! My final result is better than what you adults imagined Be pessimistic! Many compromises cannot be exchanged for enough concessions!"
"Because their original purpose is to prepare for the reconstruction of the order of the world with only one pole!" Tao Zhiming grinned, "The transcendent overlord will always keep his eyes on the people behind him! Hong Su If it does not exist, where will the positioning of Neon be placed?"
"Do you have the ability to resist?"
"Do you dare to resist?"
"Do you want to resist?"
The soul asked three times, which humiliated some people in the room.He just didn't say the most indecent questions, but smart people don't have to talk much to understand.
Neon regained the chance of recovery because it was on the front line of the confrontation, and it also assumed the responsibility of the front line of the confrontation.The name of the anti-submarine detachment is not fake.
If the confrontation no longer exists, can Neon still earn a huge trade surplus from the United States so happily?
In the economic structure designed by the United States, can the challenge that neon poses to the United States from the high-tech industry be tolerated?
The room was deadly silent.
Before coming here, no one thought that the content of the conversation tonight would be so grand and heavy.
And Ueda Masahiro couldn't help clenching his fists, remembering the words he said to himself at the beginning: cutting people can't save Nihong people.
It turns out that the real crisis is far more complicated than I imagined.